New Mexico St at Hawai`i Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Hawai`i by 3.16
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
New Mexico St
Hawai`i 
|
64
D
|
Overall |
64
D
|
|
67
D+
|
Power |
67
D+
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
67
D+
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
71
C-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
72
C-
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
66
D
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
62
D-
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
63
D-
|
RANKINGS
New Mexico St
Hawai`i
| 124 #250 overall |
Overall | 123 #248 overall |
| 113 #119 overall |
Power | 112 #117 overall |
| 111 #120 overall |
Offensive | 114 #124 overall |
| 113 #119 overall |
Defensive | 101 #103 overall |
| 135 #175 overall |
SoS (Current) | 96 #98 overall |
| 131 #146 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 116 #122 overall |
Hawai`i#12357%
New Mexico St#12443%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Hawai`i 57%, New Mexico St 43% at Hawai`i.
Hawai`i's win probability against New Mexico St has swung between 25% and 54% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Hawai`i's win probability against New Mexico St has swung between 30% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
Hawai`i's win probability against New Mexico St has swung between 36% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Hawai`i favored
New Mexico St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At New Mexico St | Neutral | At Hawai`i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 1 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 2 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 3 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 5 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 6 | 25% | 30% | 36% |
| Wk 7 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 8 | 36% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 9 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
RECORDS
New Mexico St
Hawai`i
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
2-6 (25%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
1-3 (25%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-6 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-4 (20%) |
SUPERLATIVES
New Mexico St
Hawai`i
| #222 Western Kentucky | Best Win | #250 New Mexico St |
| #248 Hawai`i | Worst Loss | #168 San Jose St |
| 37 pts vs #548 Mercyhurst | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #423 Northern Illinois |
| 24 pts vs #41 New Mexico | Largest MOD | 18 pts vs #77 Arizona St |
OTHER STATISTICS
New Mexico St
Hawai`i
| 24.6 | Points per Game | 20.8 |
| 25.4 | Points Against | 24.5 |
| 34.3 | Home PPG | 15.3 |
| 23 | Home PA | 20.3 |
| 17.3 | Away PPG | 26.3 |
| 27.3 | Away PA | 28.8 |
| 19-32 | Opponent Record | 30-29 |
| 244.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 155 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
New Mexico St
Hawai`i
| Oct 21 | at Sam Houston St (1-6) | W30-24 | Oct 24 | at Northern Illinois (0-7) | W56-21 |
| Oct 7 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | L3-22 | Oct 17 | vs New Mexico (6-1) | L10-21 |
| Oct 1 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | W34-13 | Oct 10 | at Arizona St (4-3) | L12-30 |
| Sep 26 | vs New Mexico (6-1) | L18-42 | Oct 3 | vs San Jose St (4-4) | L16-20 |
| Sep 12 | at Hawai`i (2-6) | L19-29 | Sep 26 | at Wyoming (5-3) | L10-27 |
| Sep 5 | vs Mercyhurst (1-7) | W51-14 | Sep 12 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | W29-19 |
| Aug 29 | at Florida St (3-4) | L17-34 | Sep 5 | vs UNLV (4-3) | L6-21 |